This paper is published in Volume-7, Issue-5, 2021
Area
Economics
Author
Neil Vora, Niyati Shah, Pranav Vithlani, Pranav Sachdev, Prithwiraj Ghosh
Org/Univ
Narsee Monjee Institute of Management Studies, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
Pub. Date
08 October, 2021
Paper ID
V7I5-1323
Publisher
Keywords
Forex, Forecasting, eGARCH, Risk Management, Hedging, Small and Medium Enterprises

Citationsacebook

IEEE
Neil Vora, Niyati Shah, Pranav Vithlani, Pranav Sachdev, Prithwiraj Ghosh. Using the GARCH framework to aid in decision making for businesses with Forex Exposures, International Journal of Advance Research, Ideas and Innovations in Technology, www.IJARIIT.com.

APA
Neil Vora, Niyati Shah, Pranav Vithlani, Pranav Sachdev, Prithwiraj Ghosh (2021). Using the GARCH framework to aid in decision making for businesses with Forex Exposures. International Journal of Advance Research, Ideas and Innovations in Technology, 7(5) www.IJARIIT.com.

MLA
Neil Vora, Niyati Shah, Pranav Vithlani, Pranav Sachdev, Prithwiraj Ghosh. "Using the GARCH framework to aid in decision making for businesses with Forex Exposures." International Journal of Advance Research, Ideas and Innovations in Technology 7.5 (2021). www.IJARIIT.com.

Abstract

The increased volatility that has been witnessed over the past few years has posed a problem to SMEs. The authors of this paper would wish to prepare a framework that can help solve this problem by giving SMEs a guideline for making payments and to hedge their exposures. Earlier literature has already covered the prediction of spot prices of the forex rates. The authors wish to use this for decision-making. The model used for this is the eGARCH model used on the R software. Using monthly and daily predictions the authors have developed a framework that can be used for decision making and hedging. This model is limited to working in normal times and not stressed situations.